FINANCIAL CRISES, MONETARY POLICY, AND THE COST OF CAPITAL FOR FIRMS

Main Article Content

Fausto Hernández Trillo
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8884-9361
Luis Felipe de la Paz
https://orcid.org/0009-0001-1018-0581

Abstract

This paper investigates the impact of monetary policy during crisis episodes on firms’ cost of leverage, measured by the Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC). Using econometric analysis, the study provides robust evidence that higher WACC levels are systematically associated with increased financial fragility, even after accounting for unobservable firm heterogeneity and time-specific macroeconomic conditions. The results further show that this effect intensifies under weak economic growth or in the presence of external shocks, such as exchange rate depreciation. Notably, the analysis highlights significant sectoral heterogeneity: Firms in tradable industries, which are more exposed to international trade and global financial dynamics, exhibit greater sensitivity to changes in WACC. These findings underscore the importance of incorporating sector-specific structural vulnerabilities into the design of monetary and economic policy interventions aimed at mitigating systemic risks.

Article Details

How to Cite
Hernández Trillo, F., & de la Paz, L. F. (2025). FINANCIAL CRISES, MONETARY POLICY, AND THE COST OF CAPITAL FOR FIRMS. Investigación Económica, 84(334), 121–151. https://doi.org/10.22201/fe.01851667p.2025.334.92868

Citas en Dimensions Service

References

Alfaro, L., Asis, G., Chari, A. y Panizza, U. (2019). Corporate Debt, Firm Size and Financial Fragility in Emerging Markets. Journal of International Economics, 118, 1-19. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jinteco.2019.01.002 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jinteco.2019.01.002

Altman, E.I. (2000). Predicting Financial Distress of Companies: Revisiting the Z-Score and ZETA models. Stern School of Business, New York University. https://doi.org/10.4337/9780857936080.00027 DOI: https://doi.org/10.4337/9780857936080.00027

Bianchi, F., Lettau, M. y Ludvigson, S.C. (2022). Monetary Policy and Asset Valuation. Journal of Finance, 77(2), 967-1017. https://doi.org/10.1111/jofi.13107 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/jofi.13107

Brunnermeier, M.K. y Sannikov, Y. (2014). A Macroeconomic Model with a Financial Sector. American Economic Review, 104(2), 379-421. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.104.2.379 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.104.2.379

Chinn, M.D. e Ito, H. (2008). A New Measure of Financial Openness. Journal of Comparative Policy Analysis, 10(3), 309-22 https://doi.org/10.1080/13876980802231123 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/13876980802231123

Faia, E. y Monacelli, T. (2007). Optimal interest rate rules, asset prices, and credit frictions. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 31(10), 3228-3254. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jedc.2006.11.006 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jedc.2006.11.006

Fernández, A. y Gulan, A. (2015). Interest Rates, Leverage, and Business Cycles in Emerging Economies: The Role of Financial Frictions. American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 7(3), 153-188. https://doi.org/10.1257/mac.20120141 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1257/mac.20120141

Geanakoplos, J. (2010). The Leverage Cycle. En: D. Acemoglu, K. Rogoff y M. Woodford (eds.), NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2009, Volume 24 (pp. 1-65). University of Chicago Press. Disponible en: https://web.archive.org/web/20170817091000id_/http://www.nber.org/chapters/c11785.pdf

Grosse-Rueschkamp, B., Steffen, S. y Streitz, D. (2019). A Capital Structure Channel of Monetary Policy. Journal of Financial Economics, 133(2), 357-378. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2019.03.006 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2019.03.006

Hamada, Robert S. (1972). The Effect of the firm’s Capital Structure on the Systematic Risk of Common Stocks. The Journal of Finance, 27(2), 435-452. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1972.tb00971.x DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1972.tb00971.x

Hernández Trillo, F. (2009). La crisis financiera de 2008: ¿de dónde viene? Revista Istor, 36, 73-86.

Jiang, Y., Xu, Y. y Li, S. (2022). How Does Monetary Policy Uncertainty Influence Firms’ Dynamic Adjustment of Capital Structure. SAGE Open, 12(1). https://doi.org/10.1177/21582440211068506 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1177/21582440211068506

Kindleberger, C.P. (1978). Manias, Panics, and Crashes: A History of Financial Crises. New York: Basic Books. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-349-04338-5

Mendoza, E.G. (2010). Sudden Stops, Financial Crises, and Leverage. American Economic Review, 100(5), 1941-1966. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.100.5.1941 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.100.5.1941

Minsky, H.P. (1977). A Theory of Systemic Fragility. En: E. Altman y A. Sametz (eds.), Financial Crises: Institutions and Markets in a Fragile Environment. New York: Wiley.

Minsky, H.P. (1992). The Financial Instability Hypothesis [Working Paper no. 74]. The Jerome Levy Economics Institute.

Renvall Moberg, D. (2024). Do Monetary Policy Shocks Affect Corporate Capital Structure? Tesis de Maestría, Department of Economics, Uppsala University.

Rigobon, R. y Sack, B. (2004). The impact of monetary policy on asset prices. Journal of Monetary Economics, 51(8), 1553-1575. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmoneco.2004.02.004 DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jmoneco.2004.02.004