Perceptions of Institutional Uncertainty and Transition to the Democracy: Mexico 1988 - 2000

Abstract

The classic studies have explained the process of transition to democracy in terms of institutional changes, this article instead incorporates institutional uncertainty as the explanatory variable of the Mexican transition to democracy. The work draws lines between the beginning and the end of the transition to democracy, from a methodological perspective intern who takes as a unit of observation, individual perceptions focused on the expectations of political regimen change.

The paper presents the path of transition in Mexico, defined by the influence that the public perception of the existence of electoral fraud was in the ruling party and opposition, to establish rules that grant certainty of elections and their results.